Levain Cup 2019 – MD1 Previews

Bets based on lineups:

V-Varen Nagasaki – Shonan Bellmare:

Nagasaki: 0 Regulars
Shonan: 0 regulars

Both teams have changed all 11 players since last league-match. However, for Shonan good players like Umesaki and Akino are starting so they should be a lot better than Nagasaki here.

Shonan DNB @ 1,86 (10 units)

Kashiwa Reysol – FC Tokyo:

Reysol: 1 Regular
Tokyo: 0 regulars

Reysol are fielding several players with vast J1-experience, and on the bench they got strong players like Cristiano and Segawa too. Tokyo’s side look much more like a pure b-squad, so I see some value on the home-side here.

Reysol DNB @ 2,08 (10 units)

Nagoya Grampus – Vissel Kobe:

Nagoya: 1 Regular
Kobe: 0 Regulars

Slight pref on Kobe, but the teams are priced evenly so no bets. Probably the most open match this round.

No bets

Oita Trinita – Cerezo Osaka:

Oita: 0 Regulars
Cerezo: 1 Regular

Cerezo have made tons of changes since last match but quality players like Takagi, Mizunuma, Matsuda and Kimoto are still starting so they should be a lot better than Oita’s b-team.

Cerezo DNB @ 1,75 (10 units)
Cerezo DNB @ 2,05 (10 units)

Matsumoto Yamaga – Shimizu S-Pulse:

Matsumoto: 0 Regulars
Shimizu: 1 Regular

A complete b-squad for Matsumoto, while for Shimizu strong players like Wanderson, Takeuchi, Ishige and Chong Tese are all starting.

Shimizu DNB @ 2,13 (10 units)

Jubilo Iwata – Gamba Osaka:

Iwata: 0 Regulars
Gamba: 3 Regulars

Gamba looks like a no-brainer here. Regular starters like Higashiguchi, Miura and Onose are starting, and in addition strong players like Watanabe, Yonekura, Fujimoto and Taka are also in the lineup.

Gamba DNB @ 1,81 (30 units)

Yokohama F Marinos – Consadole Sapporo:

Marinos: 1 Regular
Consadole: 0 Regulars

As expected Consadole have replaced all 11 players, and their back-up players are nowhere near the same quality as the first-team.  Marinos also changed most of their squad, but good players like Dusan, Kurihara, Theeraton, Ogihara, Otsu, Miyoshi, Endo and Lee are all starting.  Looks like a no-brainer, but someone have backed Consadole heavily for some reason.

Marinos -0,5 @ 2,02 (30 units)
Marinos -0,25 @ 1,91 (20 units)
Marinos DNB @ 1,78 (10 units)

Sagan Tosu – Vegalta Sendai:

Sagan: 3 regulars
Vegalta: 0 regulars

I took an early bet on Vegalta here, but if we look at lineups Sagan actually looks like the better bet. Very open match that can go either way though, so I will keep the Vegalta-bet for now.

Vegalta +0,25@ 1,86 (20 units)

(Regulars = players who started the last league match)

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