ACL 2019 MD1 – Tuesday’s Previews

Melbourne Victory – Daegu FC:

Melbourne Victory are in poor form in the league but I still think they should be considered favorites for the win here.  They have a very good home-record in ACL and it’s also an advantage that they are mid-season while Daegu only just started their 2019-campaign. Victory’s record vs Korean teams earlier though is alarmingly weak, so we shouldn’t rule out Daegu here.

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-1

Odds Info:
I think line on the Totals is too high here (2,75 @ 2,01) but I’ll skip any under bets at this stage in the tournament.  Odds on the HCP have moved heavily on Victory so there’s decent value on Daegu +0,5 @ 1,74 (10 units) for me here.

 

Kashima Antlers – Johor Darul:

Hard to say what to expect from ACL-debutants Johor Darul, and they have brought in lots of players ahead of this campaign in order to strenghen their squad.  But either way they should be heavily inferior to Kashima here and anything buy a comfortable home-win would be a big surprise.

Prediction: 3-1 or 4-1

Odds Info:

Odds on both the Totals and HCP looks spot-on so no bets for me here.

Gyeongnam FC – Shandong Luneng:

Gyeongnam looks like an exciting team and could be one to watch out for this year. They got off to a good start in the league and should have decent chances of another win here.

Shandong haven’t been in ACL since 2016 and although they got some big-name players that doesn’t always equal a good squad.

Prediction: 1-1 or 2-1

Odds Info:

This match is fairly open, but it’s not often we see Korean teams lose at home in ACL and I think the home-advantage could be what tips this match into the host’s favour. So Gyeongnam DNB @ 1,83 (10 units) looks like an interesting bet to me.  The totals looks spot-on.

Guangzhou Evergrande – Sanfrecce Hiroshima:

Hiroshima fielded a b-squad in their ACL-qualifer vs Thai-side Chiangrai which they only won on PK’s, and reports from Japanese media suggest they will do the same here with pretty much all 11 players that started their last game being swapped out.

So anything but a comfortable win for Evergrande will be a big surprise here.

Prediction: 3-1 or 3-0

Odds Info:
I got on Evergrande -1 @ 1,93 (30 units) as soon as the team-news broke, but it have now moved to -1,5 @  2,01. Considering the squad Hiroshima are fielding it might still be worth taking actually. The totals looks more or less correct.

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