J.League 1 R34 – Previews

No time for complete lineups this round, so will only post a brief preview and bets:

Consadole Sapporo – Sanfrecce Hiroshima:

Must-win for Consadole if they want to make sure they play in ACL next year, while for Sanfrecce a draw will be enough. Sanfrecce have collapsed completely over the last couple of months so I got a big pref on the home-side here.

At the current price its definitely worth to take the home side either as a DNB or a -0,5 but this game got big potential for live overs and 1x2s as well.

Prediction: 2-0 or 3-1

Bets:
Consadole 1×2 @ 2,31 (150 units)

Kashima Antlers – Sagan Tosu:

Kashima can still clinch 2nd with a win here, while they can lose out on top 3 altogether if they lose so they definitely got motivation. A point will be enough to secure 3rd though due to their goal difference.  Are still in the cup, so they got another game to worry abou already on Wednesday but they look to field their best squad here.

Sagan are in trouble and might end up in the relegation playoff if they lose or draw here, depending on how other matches go. They are without key FW Kanazaki so thats a bit of a blow.

There has been a massive move on both away and under in this match which I don’t quite understand, so for me there is huge value on both home and over now. Theres a fairly big chance this match might end a draw, so the -0,25 line is better than -0,5.

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-1

Bets:
KAshima -0,25 @ 2,10 (100 units)
Over 2 @ 2,03 (100 units)

Urawa Reds – FC Tokyo:

The battle for 5th place, but FC Tokyo is so bad these days and have looked more like a team battling against relegation.  The price on Urawa here is insane, and you can choose either DNB, -0,25 or -0,5.  With it being more or less a friendly I prefer the -0,25 as you never quite know how these matches go.  But I can’t see Urawa lose against this poor Tokyo-side.

PRediction: 2-0 or 3-0

Bets:
Urawa -0,25 @ 2,18 (150 units)

Kashiwa Reysol – Gamba Osaka:

Reysol already relegated despite hammering Cerezo last round. Gamba are still the form team no.1 in the league, and there’s no reason why that should stop here and they c7rrently got 4 straight away-wins.

It’s a friendly though, so I’ll only go with a low-stake 1×2 bet pre-game.

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-2

Bets:
Gamba 1×2 @ 2,78 (50 units)

Kawasaki Frontale – Jubilo Iwata:

Iwata’s goal difference is so bad that they can still end up in the relegation playoffs, if Shonan and Nagoya ends a draw and SAgan takes a point or more against Kashima.

It’s not all too unlikely that could happen, and I doubt Kawasaki will give them any free lunch here even though they don’t have anything to play for.

No bets pre-match as odds seems spot-on, but could be a good live-game.

Prediction: 2-0 or 3-1

Bets:
None

Yokohama F Marinos – Cerezo Osaka:

Basically a friendly between 2 struggling teams.  Marinos can be extremely over, but havent looked particularly good lately and Cerezo are one of the most boring teams in the league at the moment.

So for me there iss some value on the Under here, and it’s also worth a shot to take Cerezo at their current price as this match looks wide-open.

Prediction: 1-1

Bets:
Under 3 @ 1,70 (75 units)
Cerezo 1×2 @ 3,33 (50 units)

Nagoya Grampus – Shonan Bellmare:

Both Nagoya and Shonan can end up in the relegation play-off, but it looks worst for Nagoya due to their poor goal-difference.

I rate Nagoya as the much better side here, and at home they should swwp the floor with a team like Shonan.  There’s value on both the home and over, but there might be a small chance both teams will go for the draw too if Sagan is losing their game.

Prediction:2-1 or 3-1

Bets:
Nagoya 1×2 @ 2,31 (75 units)
Over 2,5 @ 2,01 (75 units)

Vissel Kobe – Vegalta Sendai:

Both Kobe and Vegalta are in poor form, so this match looks wide-open. Vegalta often pulls off surprise wins away from home, so there’s value on the 1×2 on them here I think.  Also small pre fon the under 3 as neither teams have looked particularly good in attack lately / apart from the 3-3 match Kobe had last round).

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-2

Bets:
Under 3 @ 1,75 (50 units)
Vegalta 1×2 @ 3,86 (50 units)

V-Varen Nagasaki – Shimizu S-Pulse:

Basically a friendly, and prices seems spot-on so no bets for me here pre-game.

Prediction: 1-2

Bets:
None

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