J.League 1 R30 – Nagasaki vs Iwata Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki – Jubilo Iwata:

Two teams in big trouble, and time is starting to run out for Nagasaki who are desperate for 3 points here.  They have improved a bit lately though with 2-1-1 on their last 4 matches, but they are still 5 points behind the nearest team. Their home-form is horrible with 1-0-6 on their last 7.

Iwata are not doing much better and are without a win on their last 8 away-matches. They lost 1-6 vs Nagoya at home a few weeks ago, and then 5-1 away vs arch-rivals Shimizu last round so their moral isn’t the best.

With Nagasaki being close to desperate here I think they got a decent chance at 3 points though as they should normally be a much better side. With two poor defences I also expect goals, and think we’ll see an open match. I find value on the Over 2,5, and also don’t agree with Nagasaki being considered favorites here.

Nagasaki Expected Starting Lineup:
3-4-2-1:
30Tokushige
5Tagami– 4Takasugi –45Bujis
3Iio – 38Izomura – 10Kurogi – 28Onaga
9Juanma– 19Sawada
20Nakamura

Injuries/Suspension:
MF Kono (S/R)
MF Shimada (R)

Team Strength:
97%

—————–

Expected Starting Lineup Iwata:
4-2-3-1:
21Kaminski
5Sakurauchi – 3Oi(I) – 41Takahashi – 6Eren*
30Uehara*-  7Taguchi
10Nakamura(I) – 19Yamada – 11Matsuura*
20Kawamata

Injuries/Suspension:
DF Shinzato (R)
MF Harigaya (S/R)
MF Musaev (R)
MF Adailton (I)

Team Strength:
89%

——————

Prediction: 1-2 or 2-1

Bets:
Over 2,5 @ 1,97 (75 units)
Iwata 1×2 @ 2,70 (75 units)

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