J.League 1 R23 – Previews

(No time for full previews for the matches below)

Shimizu S-Pulse – Urawa Reds:

I got a big pref on Urawa here but odds seems correct so no value.  Think we can see some goals though as both teams have been involved in some high-scoring matches lately. Urawa in particular look a lot more dangerous going forward after their new FW Fabricio signed.

Prediction: 0-2 or 1-2

Bets:

Over 2,25 @ 1,76 (20 units)

Nagoya Grampus – Sagan Tosu:

Nagoya are the form-team no 1 in the league with 4 straight wins.  They will be without their ace striker Jo here who’s suspended, which is why there have been a major move on Sagan here. Still, Nagoya are not only about Jo and they got a lot of other good players too so I don’t really agree on Sagan being the favorite here. Especially considering they only got 1-4-5 away, so for me it’s a huge value on both the 1×2 and +0,25 line on Nagoya here.

Prediction: 2-1 or 2-0

Bets:
Nagoya +0,25 @ 1,83 (30 units)
Nagoya 1×2 @ 2,99 (20 units)

V-Varen Nagasaki – Cerezo Osaka:

Cerezo have rightfully been made favorites here but their form of late have not been convincing so they could easily screw this one up. They only got 2 wins from 11 away-matches so far, so it’s worth a shot to take Nagasaki 1×2 at 3,71.   Key FW Kakitani is still missing for Cerezo, and even though they scored 3 goals last match there’s something that seems to be lacking in their attack these days.

Prediction: 0-2 or 1-2

Bets:
Nagasaki 1×2 @3,71 (20 units)

Kashima Antlers – Yokohama F Marinos:

This is 2 unpredictable teams, and although Kashima is the better side I don’t really trust them and they seem capable of losing against anyone.

Marinos are in poor form with 4 losses in the last 5, and they are still conceding a ton of goals. They made some new signings to their defence and have changed to a 3-back line so they are hoping that will improve things but I still find good value on the Over 3 here.  Also worth a shot to take the 1×2 away bet on Marinos as anything can happen here.

Prediction: 2-1 or 2-2

Bets:
Over 3 @ 1,99 (20 units)
Marinos 1×2 @ 3,58 (20 units)

Vegalta Sendai – Gamba Osaka:

Talking about unpredictable teams, no teams are worse than Vegalta.  You never know what version that shows up, and they can go from magnificent to horrible from one game to another it seems.

Gamba are yet to win any away matches this season but are showing signs of improvement under their new manager, at least playwise. So the 1×2 looks interesting, and I also got a pref on Under 3.

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-1

Bets:
Under 3 @ 1,75 (20 units)
Gamba 1×2 @ 3,42 (20 units)

Shonan  Bellmare – Vissel Kobe:

Shonan with 2 disappointing performances in a row, and I think they are in for a struggle here as well against a Kobe-side who have looked very strong lately. Iniesta have been on fire, and Podolski also looks better now that the main focus is taken away from him and I expect Kobe to just become better and better. Got a new FW for this match in Nagasawa (from Gamba), who’s expected to start as Wellington is suspended. Both the over and Kobe -0,25 looks good here.

Prediction: 1-2 or 1-3

Bets:
Kobe -0,25 @ 1,88 (30 units)
Over 2,5 @ 1,95 (20 units)

Jubilo Iwata – Kashiwa Reysol:

There’s been a massive move on Reysol for this match which is a bit hard to understand. There’s no major team news that justifies such a move, and Reysol have been quite awful lately too although they took a narrow win vs Tokyo away last round.

So I’m not buying that, and unless there’s something dodgy going on I think it’s worth backing Iwata here both for the 1×2 and +0,25.

Prediction:  2-1 or 1-2

Bets:
Iwata +0,25 @1,76 (30 units)
Over 2,5 @ 1,97 (20 units)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Kawasaki Frontale:

Another major move here pre-game, with the money going Kawasaki’s direction.  Granted, they are in good form and one of the best away-teams in the league but it’s not like Hiroshima have been poor lately. They got 2-2-0 on their last 4, and 7-2-2 overall at home (best in the league).

No major team news here either, and I have Hiroshima as the favorite so I’m definitely backing both the 1×2 and +0,25 here as well.

Prediction: 1-2 or 2-1

Bets:
Hiroshima +0,25 @ 1,83 (30 units)
Hiroshima 1×2 @ 2,97 (20 units)

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