Jubilo Iwata – Sagan Tosu:
Iwata suffered a 0-2 loss away against Gamba last round but were playing pretty good prior to that. They are not scoring too many goals and have in fact only scored in 2 out of 7 matches so far this season.
Sagan on the other hand are one of the most over-teams in the league so far with plenty of goals both for and against. 5 out of 7 matches have gone over 2,5 and Sagan have scored in 6 out of 7 games so far. Key FW Ibarbo is set to start on the bench, but his replacement Tagawa have done well too with 2 goals to his name so far.
So it’s under vs over, but I find some decent value on the Over 2,25 and will back that with a medium bet. Iwata got some good offensive players and it’s only a matter of time before the goals start rolling in and against a team like Sagan chances should come.
Expected Starting Lineup Iwata:
4Shinzato – 3Oi(I) – 41Takahashi
5Sakurauchi – 23Yamamoto* – 7Taguchi – 6Guilherme
10Nakamura(I) – 19Yamada*
MF Musaev (R)
MF Adailton (I)
Expected Starting Lineup Sagan:
13Kobayashi – 3Takahashi – 5Kim– 23Yoshida
4Harakawa – 36H.Takahashi – 6Fukuda
GK Akahoshi (S/R)
FW Ikeda (S/R)
FW Ibarbo (K)
Prediction: 2-1 or 1-1
Over 2,25 @ 1,97 (20 units)