Hull are deep problems with 4 straight defeats, and have conceded 17 goals in their last 4 matches. Stoke on the other hand are back o ntrack and finally took their first win of the season last round. Should be a big favorite here, and expect them to take all 3 points so the DNB on them holds great value. Also have a small Over 2,25 bet.
Watford as well are doing good at the moment, with 3-1-1 on their last 5. They meet a Swansea-side who got 4 straight defeats and who are without a win since R1. Great value on the away-side here as well, and also expect goals!
The last big bet of the round is Over 2,75 in Man City vs Southampton. Expect to see goals at both ends, and Man City need to step it up a notch after 3 very poor games in a row now. Also value on the away-side with Man City playing in CL etc, but only a small +1,25 bet.
Bournemouth are another form-side, and the 6-1 win last round must have given them a lot of extra confidence. New home-game here vs Tottenham, and not sure if the away-side will get away with anything here. Value on both the 1×2 and +0,5, especially since Tottenham took part in CL midweek.
Last, I have a small 1×2 bet on Burnley at home vs Everton. Everton obviously the stronger team, but lack the consistency of the really good teams, and Burnely have beaten both Liverpool and Watford at home this season.
High (7,5 units):
Stoke DNB @ 1,78
Watford +0,25 @ 1,91
ManCity – Southampton Over 2,75 @ 1,90
Medium (5 units):
Swansea – Watford Over 2,5 @ 1,93
Small (2,5 units):
Bournemouth +0,5 @ 1,93
Hull – Stoke Over 2,25 @ 1,81
Southampton +1,25 @ 1,89
Small (1 unit):
Bournemouth 1×2 @4,02
Burnley 1×2 @6,02