Bad call on Wolfsburg last week, but the other bets were good and still ended up in profit despite taking a extra big bet on the Wolves.
Try again this week, and the bet that stands out for me is Freiburg -0,25 at home vs Augsburg. Freiburg have won all their home-matches so far, and have looked very good playwise as well. They struggled a bit more vs in-form E Frankfurt in the narrow 1-0 win, but dominated against both Mgladbach and HSV. Augsburg have been all over the place, but doesn’t seem to be strongest team this season. Think they will end up with nothing here.
Hertha is another team that have won all their home-matches so far, but they meet a Köln-side who are so far unbeaten, and perhaps alongside RB Leipzig the most positive surprise this season. Met Wolfsburg, Schalke and Bayern away,which normally would have been 3 clear defeats, but they have impressed. Still, I think the home-advantage might tip this one into Hertha’s favour, so the DNB-bet seems good.
Schalke have finally got their season up and running again. Embolo is out with injury, but still got decent strikers to choose from in Di Santo and Huntelaar. Mainz have looked very over so far this season, with only the 0-0 game vs Wolfsburg going under 2,5, and I expect goals at both ends here. Also have a pref on Schalke.
Ingolstadt have been utterly horrible this season, and been truly outplayed in all their matches except for the 1-1 draw vs HSV in R1. Since they they have lost 6 straight games, and can’t see them have any chance at points here vs Dortmund. Only a small bet though as value-wise the price isnt that good.
Last, I also have Hoffenheim 1×2 away vs Leverkusen. Hoffenheim are so far unbeaten and got 3 straight wins, and Leverkusen often struggle in the following match of a CL-midweek. Was considering +1 as well, but Leverkusen are a good counter-team, so at 1-0 up 2-0 will be very likely to come.
High (7,5 units):
Freiburg -0,25 @ 1,91
Medium (5 units):
Hertha DNB @ 1,88
Schalke – Mainz Over 2,75 @ 2,03
Small (2,5 units):
Dortmund -1 @ 2,09
Schalke -0,5 @ 1,98
Small (1,5 unit):
Hoffenheim 1×2 @5,76