Consadole Sapporo are still going strong, and have a 7-point gap down to 2nd place with 8 matches remaining. They are by far the best home-team in the league with 15-2-0 overall, and have now 7 home-wins in a row. Mito rarely lose these days, but I’m still backing Consadole here with this week’s biggest bet, and also have Over 2,25 as Consadole have been very over at home lately. They also average 3,12 in their home-games.
Yokohama FC have now 2 straight defeats, and especially last match was disappointing when they lost 0-3 away vs Ehime. They have done better at home lately though, and have won 3 out of their 4 home-matches. They still got a chance of a top 6 finish, while Nagasaki got very little to play for and are also without a win on their last 8 matches, so Yokohama DNB is this week’s 2nd big bet. With Ibba returning up front for Yokohama as well they should look better going forward than last match.
Motivation is also a factor in why I’m backing Ehime DNB away against Montedio. They are still in the race for a top 6 finish, and their form is also quite good with 4-5-1 on their last 10.Montedio on the other hand have 1-4-8 on their last 13 so it holds good value.
Cerezo vs Gifu promises goals, as Cerezo averages 2,94 goals at home and Gifu 3,06 away. When you can get a 2,5 line then on this match it looks very good, and I was considering even a bigger bet there.
I’m also backing Over 2 in Tokushima vs Kamatamare as the line seems too low there. Tokushima are 2,35 at home, and 6 out of their last 7 home-games have had 2 goals or more in them. Kamatamare as well have looked very over lately, and conceded a massive 17 goals in their last 6 matches.
Matsumoto vs Fagiano is this week’s biggest game, between 2 of the form-teams of the league. Both are strong defensively, and only Consadole have conceded less goals than any of these teams this season. Matsumoto got 5-5-0 on their last 10 matches, but have failed to dominate too many of their recent matches, except for the 4-2 win vs Kamatamare last round. Fagiano on the other hand have 6-3-1 on their last 10, and have kept a clean sheet for 4 matches in a row now. Expect a tight game and think it will be much more evenly contested than what the odds suggests so I’m backing Fagiano with both a +0,5 and a 1×2 bet. Under 2,25 also got good value.
Tokyo Verdy got very little to play for at the moment, and their form as well is poor with just 1 win on their last 6 matches. Giravanz showed in their last match that they are not a pushover as they held leaders Consadole to a draw, and as every points counts for them here I think they got a good chance at getting more points. A +0,5 line holds great value, and also backing it with a small 1×2 bet.
Roasso vs Thespa is a bit tricky, and is one of those matches that can go both ways. Roasso are unbeaten on their last 3 matches, so think they deserve to be considered favorites here. Thespa are one of the weaker away-teams in the league and have only managed to win 3 out of 17 matches on the road this year. Also have value on over 2,25, but mainly because of Thespa and both the home and over bet are with low confidence.
Last bet of the round is Zweigen DNB at home vs Renofa. This one is also backed by motivation, but partly also form as Zweigen have looked relatively very good in their last 5-6 matches. Renofa got nothing to play for and haven’t won in 7 matches, so I don’t see any reason why that should change here.
Consadole -0,75 @ 2,10
Yokohama DNB @ 1,86
Medium (5 units):
Consadole – Mito Over 2,25 @ 1,97
Ehime DNB @ 2,24
Cerezo – Gifu Over 2,5 @ 1,83
Tokushima – Kamatamare Over 2 @ 1,75
Matsumoto – Fagiano Under 2,25 @ 1,85
Fagiano +0,5 @ 1,77
Giravanz +0,5 @1,84
Roasso DNB @ 2,00
Small (2,5 units):
Roasso – Thespa Over 2,25 @ 2,04
Zweigen DNB @ 2,21
Small (1,5 units):
Fagiano 1×2 @ 3,77
Giravanz 1×2 @4,10