Big move on under and away in Stabæk vs Lillestrøm this weekend. Looks a bit strange as the match is important for both teams and LSK haven’t really shown much to justify the big move on them. The under is more plausible, but because of the big move there’s now rather big value on the over, so I’m taking a small Over 2,25 bet. STabæk might be under at home, but LSK averages 3,42 away, and are in a position where they need to score goals here.
Sogndal – Brann also looks interesting, and think we’ll see some goals there. A 2,25 line sounds low, especially considering how over Brann are away.
The most interesting match in the round is for me Haugesund vs Sarpsborg. Odds on the home-side seems too low, and I also expect goals here so are backing the over 2,5 line with this week’s biggest bet. Haugesund are 3,50 at home, and Sarpsborg 3,00 away, so a 2,5 line holds therefore extreme value.
Expect goals in Aalesund vs Odd as well, and considering the away-side’s poor form I’m also taking Aalesund +0,25. Aalesund got 3 straight wins, 2 vs good teams, while Odd have only 1 win in their last 6 matches.
Rosenborg are already champions, but will probably not relax because of that. Expect an entertaining match here as RBK wants to show off in front of their fans, and they are also chasing several records in the league. Vålerenga got nothing to play for, so might as well join in on the fun. 3,25-line is quite high, but still backing it with a medium bet.
Tromsø have been very strong at home lately, and won 3 straight matches. Molde only got 1 point in their last 3 matches, and seems a bit out of it, and can easily find themselves in trouble here. Don’t think Molde deserve to be favorites here, and also expect goals.
Last match of the round is Viking vs Start, which looks fairly under. Start averages only 2,17 away actually, and their last 4 away-matches have gone under 2,5. Viking are just 2,00 at home, so under 3 seems very generous.
High (7,5 units):
Haugesund – Sarpsborg Over 2,5 @ 1,90
Medium (5 units):
Stabæk DNB @ 1,70
Sogndal – Brann Over 2,25 @1,94
Haugesund -0,5 @ 1,99
Aalesund +0,25 @ 1,96
Rosenborg – Vålerenga Over 3,25 @ 1,99
Tromsø – Molde Over 2,75 @ 2,04
Viking – Start Under 3 @ 1,81
Small (2,5 units):
Stabæk – Lillestrøm Over 2,25 @ 1,85
Aalesund – Odd Over 3 @ 2,02
Tromsø DNB @ 2,05