J.League 1 Stage 2 – R12 Betting Previews

Shonan – Avispa seems like the most interesting game this week, as really only a win for either team is good enough if they want to have any chance of staying in J1 for next season. The over 2,25-line therefore seems like a gift, as on late 1-1 we can expect massive risk from both  teams.   Avispa 1×2 is also worth a shot as in these team’s current form its closer to 50/50 than what the odds suggests, even though Shonan are on paper a much stronger team.

Kobe-Reysol have every potential to also be a classic, with 2 fast-paced teams who are definitely stronger going forward than in defence.  Expect goals, and want to back Kobe as well as they are usually very solid at home. But with Reysol’s 5-2 win away vs Kawasaki a few weeks ago still fresh in mind you never know, so only a medium size bet there.

Marinos are still in the race for a top 2 finish, but will most likely have to win most of their remaining matches then. Not in the best of form, but they rarely lose and they only got 1 loss in their last 11 league-games.  Albirex got nothing to play for, and shouldn’t normally stand a chance here.

An Over 2 line in Kofu-Vegalta seems very generous, as both teams are fairly over, and looks like another very safe bet.

Tokyo – Urawa is another interesting game this weekend, with Urawa chasing a top 2 finish. But their form isnt the best, and Tokyo have 4-1-1 on their last 6 matches, so they could easily cause problems for Urawa here. 1×2 combined with a +0,5 seems a good deal.  The last couple of meetings between these teams have also been very over, so I’m also backing the Over 2,5 line.

Hiroshima doesn’t have anything to play for, while Sagan is still in the race for the top 2 places.  Their home-form is also quite good, and deserves to be considered a favorite here. The DNB @ 2,01 therefore seems very generous.

I’m also backing Kofu as Vegalta seems really out of oit with 3 straight losses, as well as Omiya for an 1×2 as Kawasaki have had a few mix-ups lately.  Iwata @ 6,60 is more like a value bet, as Kashima is another team with very little to play for.

High (7,5 units):

Shonan – Avispa Over 2,25 @ 1,86
Kobe – Reysol Over 2,75 @ 1,95

Medium (5 units):

Marinos -0,5 @ 1,99
Kofu – Vegalta Over 2 @ 1,81
Tokyo +0,5 @ 1,97
Tokyo-Urawa Over 2,5 @ 2,02
Kobe DNB @ 1,86
Sagan DNB @ 2,01

Small (2,5 units):

Kofu DNB @ 2,18
Omiya 1×2 @4,54
Tokyo 1×2 @ 4,19
Avispa 1×2 @3,68

Small (1,5 units):

Iwata 1×2 @6,60

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s