J.League 1 R16 Betting Previews

Vegalta – Kofu:

Prediction: 2-1 or 2-0
My Odds: -0,25 @ 1,82 /O2,5 @1,83

Bets:
O2 @ 1,83 (10 units)

Total looks way too low here, with Kofu having had 2+ goals in 13 of 15 matches so far. Even more over away, where they average 3,13 per match.

Omiya – Marinos:

Prediction: 1-0 or 1-1

My Odds: DNB 2 1,93 / Over 2,5 @ 2,08

Bets:
Omiya +0,25 @ 2,00 (7,5 units)

Crazy price on Marinos. Had 2 nice wins recently, but that does in no way means they deserve to be such big favorites here.

Tokyo – Albirex:

Prediction: 1-0 or 2-0

My Odds: DNB @ 1,90 / Over 2,5 @ 1,98

Bets:
No Bets.

Shonan – Iwata:

Prediction: 2-1 or 1-2
My Odds: DNB @ 1,90 ( Over 2,5 @ 1,98

Bets:
Over 2,5 @ 2,08 (5 units)

Only a little bit value here, and Shonan have been very under at home this season, but with Jay fit to play for Iwata I still think we’ll see some goals in this one.

Nagoya – Reysol:

Prediction: 1-1 or 2-1

My Odds: DNB @ 1,97 / Over 2,5 @ 1,99

Bets:
Nagoya DNB @2,08 (5 units)
Under 2,75 @1,79 (5 units)

Nagoya in poor form, but this match can go either way. Playing at home they should be considered favorites though, so got tiny value there. Reysol very under away, and Nagoya failed to score in their last 2 matches so don’t think we’ll see too many goals here.

Kobe – Kashima:

Prediction: 1-2 or 1-3

My Odds: +0,5 @ 2,04 / Over 2,75 @ 1,96

Bets:
Kobe 1×2 @ 4,85 (1,5 units)

Kashima most likely need to win here to have a chance at 1st, but Kobe is not a bad team. At late draw could easily see Kobe get away with the win on a counter.

Hiroshima – Urawa:

Prediction: 1-0 or 0-1

My odds: DNB @ 2,03 / Over 2,25 @ 1,97

Bets:
Under 2,5 @ 1,90 (10 units)
Hiroshima 1×2 @ 3,05 (1,5 units)

100% must-win for Urawa, but even that might not be good enough as they have really screwed it up in their last couple of matches. They are extremely under away, and have now failed to score on their last 4 in the league.

Avispa – Kawasaki:

Prediction: 0-2 or 0-3

My odds: +0,75 @2,01 / Over 2,5 @ 2,08

Bets:
Under 2,75 @1,85 (5 units)

Avispa are very under, and Kawasaki concedes very few goals, so decent value on the under here. Some value on Avispa as well, but can’t see them get away with anything.

Sagan – Gamba:

Prediction: 0-1 or 0-2

My odds: +0,5 @ 1,90 / Over 2 @1,89

Bets:
Under 2,25 @ 1,88 (7,5 units)
Gamba -0,25 @ 1,96 (7,5 units)

Can’t see many goals in this one, even though Gamba have had a couple of crazy matches the last couple of weeks. Gamba the much better team, and should be considered a bigger favorite than what the odds reflects.

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