Sydney FC – Guangzhou Evergrande:
Sydney deservedly lost 0-2 in Japan vs Urawa last week, and looked out of their depth technically for big parts of the game. Have 7 matches in a row now in all competitions without a win, and have to be careful not to fall outside of the top 6 in the league.
Evergrande somehow disappointed in their opening ACL-game, as they had to settle for a 0-0 draw vs Pohang at home. Won 2-0 in the Supercup-final vs Jiangsu last weekend, and will be looking for a win here as well. Not the best away-team in ACL, and have won 1 out of their last 7 on the road. Have struggled earlier in Australia as well, and the long travel could affect them here.
Still have Evergrande as rather clear favorites though, but this early in the season I’m not sure how much I trust them.
Prediction: 1-2 or 2-2
My odds: +0,25 @ 2,04 / Over 2,75 @ 1,92
Market Price: +0,5 @ 2,19 / Over 2,5 @1,94
Over 2,5 @ 1,94 (5 units)
Sydney 1×2 @ 4,30 (2,5 units)
Gamba Osaka – Melbourne Victory:
A tough start for Gamba so far this year, with losses against both Sanfrecce ( Supercup) and Kashima (league). Managed to get a good result with them from South Korea in their first ACL-match though, and will be looking too add 3 more points to their tally here.
Melbourne are in overall very poor form, and haven’t won for 5 league-matches. Their 2-1 win vs SIPG in the opening ACL-match was nice though, and should have given them some confidence back. Like Sydney FC, Victory are also in danger of losing out on the top 6, unless their form changes.
Rate Gamba as a rather big favorite here, as I think the long travel up to Japan for Victory will have a big negative effect on a team that is already struggling. Gamba got off to a poor start in the ACL last year, and will try to make sure that doesn’t happen this season.
My odds: -0,75 @ 2,03 / Over 2,5 @ 1,89
Market Price: -1 @2,14 / Over 2,5 @ 1,75
Pohang Steelers – Urawa Reds:
Pohang did very well to get away with a point vs Evergrande away in Round 1, and showed defensive strength to keep Evergrande’s super-strikers at bay.
Urawa had few problems beating Sydney FC 2-0 at home in their opening match, and also looked solid in their 2-1 win away vs Reysol in the first league match of the season. Have left several players out of the squad for this match though, and will be missing DF Ugajin (R), MF Sekine (R), MF Kashiwagi (K), FW Lee (R), FW Muto (I). They have a very big squad, so will still be able to field a strong line-up but it does tell a little bit something about where their main priority lies.
Pohang are unbeaten on their last 11 home-matches in ACL, but 7 of those ended a draw. That could easily be the outcome here, as I expect an evenly contested match with few goals in it.
Prediction: 1-1 or 0-1
My odds: DNB @ 2,01 / Over 2,25 @ 1,95
Market Price: -0,25 @2,20 / Over 2,25 @ 2,01
Shanghai SIPG – Suwon Bluewings:
Disappointing result for SIPG when they lost 1-2 away vs Melbourne Victory in R1, but they are not the first team to have struggled in Australia. Will be looking to get back on track here, and meets a Suwon-side who managed a 0-0 draw at home vs Gamba in their first match.
Suwon are the more experienced team among these, but rate the Chinese side as much stronger. Suwon have only lost 1 out of their last 12 away-matches in ACL though, so they are a tough team to beat.
Prediction: 2-1 or 2-0
My odds: -0,25 @ 1,89 / Over 2,5 @ 2,01
Market Price: -0,5 @ 1,97 / Over 2,5 @ 1,86
Suwon 1×2 @ 3,90 (1 unit)
Nasaf – Al Ahli:
These 2 teams met last week as well, with Al Ahli claiming a narrow 2-1 win at home. Nasaf gave them more of a fight than expected, and could have gotten away with a point if they had been a bit luckier.
Al Ahli should normally be the much better team though, and think they will avoid defeat in this match as well. Drew all their 3 group-stage away- matches last year, and a low-scoring draw seems the most likely outcome.
Prediction: 0-0 or 1-1
My odds: DNB @ 2,04 / Over 2 @ 1,89
Market Price: DNB @2,06 / Over 2,25 @ 1,92
Under 2,25 @ 1,96 (5 units)
El Jaish – Al Ain:
That El Jaish got away with 3 points in their first match against Al Ain was nothing short of a miracle, as the UAE-team had more than 30 shots and more than a dozen of big chances including 2 PK’s in the game.
Al Ain will be looking for revenge here, and they have a pretty decent away-record from previous years in ACL. They are a much better team, and I am backing them for the win here.
My odds: +0,5 @ 1,84 / Over 2,5 @ 1,89
Market Price: +0,25 @ 1,84 / Over 2,5 @ 1,99
Al Ain DNB @ 1,79 (7,5 units)
Over 2,5 @ 1,99 (2,5 units)
Al Jazira – Tractor Sazi:
Horrible showing from Al Jazira in their match vs Tractor, as they suffered a 0-4 defeat. They could easily be in for a struggle here as well, as they lost all 3 home-matches in ACL last year.
UAE-teams seems to be improving every year though, and considering Tractor only got 0-2-8 on their away-matches in ACL so far their chances are good here if they want to get back on track. Shouldn’t forget the result in the 1st match though, but still think Al Jazira can bounce back with a win here.
My odds: -0,25 @ 1,92 / Over 2,5 @ 1,99
Market Price: DNB @1,83 / Over 2,5 @ 1,78
Al Jazira DNB @1,83 (5units)
Al Hilal – Pakhtakor:
Their first match ended in a 2-2 draw, as Al Hilal managed to give away the lead on 2 occasions. In the end a draw was a fair result for both teams though. Expect a more one-sided game here, as Al Hilal have an incredible home-record in ACL, with 10-3-0 on their last 13.
Pakhtakor drew 3 out of 3 away-matches in ACL last year, but are meeting a stronger team here, and can’t see them have any chance of getting away with points.
Prediction: 2-1 or 2-0
My odds: -0,75 @ 1,83 / Over 2,5 @ 1,96
Market Price: -1 @ 1,92 / Over 2,5 @ 1,86